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2020 Demographic Analysis Estimates Press Kit

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The 2020 Demographic Analysis Estimates include national-level estimates of the population by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin as of April 1, 2020. These estimates are developed from current and historical vital statistics – birth and death records, estimates of international migration, and Medicare records. The demographic analysis estimates are independent from the 2020 Census and will be used to calculate net coverage error, one of the two main ways the U.S. Census Bureau uses population estimates to measure coverage of the census.

Online News Conference

Tuesday, December 15, 2020, 1 p.m. EST

Archived video:

Visualization

2020 Demographic Estimates Population Pyramids: Use this interactive visualization to see how Demographic Analysis estimates for the Black and non-Black populations have changed every decade since 2000.

Note: Demographic Analysis estimates are only available for select race and Hispanic origin groups for the nation due to limitations in the historical vital statistics data used to produce these estimates.

Evaluating 2020 Census Quality

There are two main ways of evaluating the quality of a census—comparing the results to other population totals and evaluating how well the process of conducting the census worked. Demographic Analysis is one of the population totals used to compare against 2020 Census results. The Census Bureau is also currently conducting a Post-Enumeration Survey, which will give estimates of the undercount by demographic group and geography. The first results from this survey are expected in November 2021.

Sound Bites

1. Quality Assessments for the 2020 Census

Attribute to: Ron Jarmin

“We have numerous quality checks built into the census – both in collecting and processing the data – and have updated plans for releasing information about quality along with the first results from the census, including releasing an unprecedented number of data quality indicators.”

1. Evaluaciones de calidad para el censo de 2020

Attribute to: Angelica Menchaca

“Contamos con numerosos controles de calidad incorporados en el censo, tanto en la ecopilación como en el procesamiento de los datos, y tenemos planes actualizados para divulgar información sobre la calidad junto con los primeros resultados del censo, incluida la publicación de una cantidad sin precedentes de indicadores de calidad de los datos.”

2. Demographic Analysis Provides Early Quality Metric

Attribute to: Ron Jarmin

“With today’s release of the Demographic Analysis population estimates, we are able to provide the public with its first major metric that will give us an early indication of the quality behind the 2020 population counts.”

2. El análisis demográfico proporciona una métrica de calidad temprana.

Attribute to: Kevin Barragan

“Con la publicación hoy de las estimaciones de población del análisis demográfico, podemos proporcionar al público su primera métrica importante que nos dará una indicación temprana  de la calidad detrás de los recuentos de población del 2020.”

3. Coverage Patterns Across Demographic Groups

Attribute to: Eric Jensen

“Demographic Analysis is useful for showing patterns about coverage across demographic groups. We can look at these within a census or across a census. DA has historically been used to highlight coverage differentials by race and the undercount of young children aged 0 to 4.” 

3. Patrones de cobertura entre grupos demográficos

Attribute to: Angelica Menchaca

“El análisis demográfico es útil para mostrar patrones de cobertura entre grupos demográficos. Podemos verlos dentro de un censo o a través de un censo. El análisis demográfico se ha utilizado históricamente para destacar las diferencias de cobertura por raza y el recuento insuficiente de niños pequeños de 0 a 4 años.”

4. Rigorous Methodology Behind Demographic Analysis Estimates

Attribute to: Eric Jensen

“The methodology used to create Demographic Analysis estimates is built upon decades of extensive research and collaboration both internally and with expert demographers around the nation to make it the valuable tool it is today in evaluating coverage of the national population.”

4. Metodología rigurosa detrás de las estimaciones de análisis demográfico

Attribute to: Kevin Barragan

“La metodología utilizada para crear estimaciones de Análisis Demográfico se basa en décadas de extensa investigación y colaboración tanto internamente como con demógrafos expertos en todo el país para convertirla en la herramienta valiosa que es hoy para evaluar la cobertura de la población nacional.”

5. Looking Ahead to the 2030 Census

Attribute to: Karen Battle

“We will effectively kick off a decade of analysis to assess what worked and what didn’t work, using that information to lay the foundation for the best 2030 Census possible. And by releasing these 2020 Demographic Analysis estimates for the nation by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin, we are also opening the door for researchers and the public to come to their own conclusions.”  

5. Mirando hacia al censo del 2030

Attribute to: Kevin Barragan

“Efectivamente, iniciaremos una década de análisis para evaluar qué funcionó y qué no, utilizando esa información para sentar las bases para un mejor censo del 2030 posible. Y al publicar estas estimaciones del Análisis Demográfico del 2020 para la nación por edad, sexo, raza y origen hispano, también estamos abriendo la puerta para que los investigadores y el público lleguen a sus propias conclusiones.”

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